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Cake day: August 9th, 2023

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  • It is how cults of personality tend to work. That person dies, and they fall apart. There’s splinters that cause problems for decades to come, yes, but they have to rebuild their whole political power from scratch.

    For every cult of personality that you’ve heard of that sustained themselves in the long run after their leader’s death (like Scientology), there’s a hundred more you haven’t that faded away. For example, the Oneida Community. The leader, John Humphrey Noyes, fled the United States following an arrest warrant for statutory rape in 1879, and the group basically dissolved after that. The only thing left is the silverware company.




  • Here’s my pet theory on the death of hard drives: it’ll decline fast when SSDs hit twice the price per TiB, and we’re only a few years away.

    My thinking is that there’s a lot of corporate deployments of four drive RAID 10. With SSDs, you can make that two drive RAID 1 with equivalent redundancy, but much, much faster.

    Spinning platters are around $10 per TiB. SSDs around $60. (This does depend on the specific models of each.) SSDs would need to be cut in half about 1.5 times to reach that point.